Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before It Happens Quiz Answers

Get All Weeks Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before it Happens Quiz Answers

Week 01: Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before it Happens Quiz Answers

Quiz 1: Future Forecasting Essentials

Q1. What’s the best definition for a future forecast?

A prediction of what will most likely happen in the future, based on probability, statistics and simulations.
A prediction of what COULD happen in the future, based on evidence of how the world is already changing. This evidence is called “signals” of change.
A description of what you want to happen in the future.

Q2. Futurist Bob Johansen has a three-word philosophy that sums up the purpose and methods of future forecasting. He uses it in his daily personal life, and not just at work, to practice the skills of arriving before the masses and giving yourself enough time to think more clearly and respond to surprising challenges. What is this three-word philosophy?

Get there early

Q3. Institute for the Future uses a three-step methodology that Bob Johansen explains in his mini-masterclass video and in the reading this week.

The first step of the methodology, or cycle, is to anticipate what might be different in the future. What is the name of this step?

Forecast

Q4. The second step of the Institute for the Future methodology is to make sense of the possible changes and imagine what you might do to prepare for and take advantage of those changes, or to slow them down and prevent them. What is the name of this step?

Perspectives

Q5. The third step in the Institute for the Future methodology is to start trying new things, today, that let you experiment with possible strategies for the future. What is the name of this step in the cycle?

Prototyping

Quiz 2: Blockchain basics

Q1. Professional futurists often talk about “drivers of change” when making future forecasts. What’s a driver of change?

A person who gets to decide what the future will be.
A major new technology, global trend or phenomenon that is likely to have a big influence on what the future will be.
An action you can take today to change what the future will be.

Q2. What’s the best way to describe what Blockchain technology is?

A decentralized system of record-keeping, in which it is easier to counterfeit or fake data because no one authority is in charge of maintaining the record
A decentralized system of record-keeping, protected by a form of math called crypotgraphy so that only experts in security and advanced mathematics have access to the records
A decentralized system of record-keeping, protected by cryptography, that creates trust because everyone connected to the system has a complete copy of the record, preventing individuals from faking data or altering the record

Q3. The Blockchain forecast you read this week predicts that we will see three waves of innovation when it comes to blockchain over the next decade.

Computing: The rise of a new global “stateful” computing platform that will be highly automated and transparent, and replace Cloud computing
Currencies: The invention of new forms of money, or crypto-tokens, and many new ways of exchanging and distributing money with fewer middle-men
Commons: Important physical resources and infrastructure start to be managed by the crowd (ordinary people), instead of by the governments and corporations, when blockchain computing is connected to the Internet of Things

What order are these 3 waves of innovation expected to occur in?

Computing, Currencies, Commons
Commons, Computing, Currencies
Currencies, Computing, Commons
Currencies, Commons, Computing

Q4. Blockchain is an exciting but complicated driver of change. What jumps out at you this from this week’s video or reading as being personally of interest to YOU about blockchain? Is there a particular use for Blockchain, or a signal in the report, or scenario that feels personally important to YOUR work or YOUR life? Or is there one thing you’d like to learn more about the Blockchain, based on what you learned this week?

There is no right or wrong answer here – whatever you share will count as a correct response! Use this question as a chance to reflect on what you’ve learned this week and make a personal connection to the material.

Answer to be provided by the learner

Week 2: Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before it Happens Quiz Answers

Quiz 1: Which forecast would impact you the most?

Q1. This week, you watched two demonstration videos of how to turn signals and drivers into forecasts. Which of the two demonstrated forecasts do you think would impact you the most if it came true? (There is no right or wrong answer to this question. It’s just an opportunity for you to reflect on what you learned this week!)

Yes, you can play with your food! Virtual reality and 3D food printers make mealtime more fun and experimental
Go team! Professional sports allow fans to buy power-ups for their favorite athletes and teams through physical activity

Week 3: Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before it Happens Quiz Answers

Quiz 1: The Future of Machines

Q1. In this week’s readings, you encountered three new scenarios about the future of machines.

In the scenario “Machines as Consumers”, what is different about this future?

Instead of deciding what to buy for themselves, most people let artificially intelligent “personal assistants” do their shopping for them.
Globally, more money is now spent on purchases for keeping machines running than for keeping humans alive.

Q2. In the scenario “Machines as Criminals”, what’s different in this future?

It proves impossible to teach ethical decision-making to robots and AI. As a result, most “smart” machines behave in ways that are criminal or in violation of human values, and the production of “bad” machines is banned.
Lawmakers have to decide who should be legally responsible when “smart” objects break the law: the people who own the objects, or the companies who make them. For example, if a self-driving car gets a speeding ticket, who should pay: the owner of the car, or the auto manufacturer who programmed it to speed?

Q3. In the scenario “Machines as Conscience”, what is different in this future?

A new AI called the “Digital Consequence Awareness System” helps people understand the ripple effects and long-term consequences of their actions, so they can behave more ethically.
A new blockchain app called “Karma” allows individuals to report when someone else’s actions have helped them or harmed them, creating a lifelong record of who is a “good person” or a “bad person”.

Q4. Of these 3 scenarios, which one do you personally think is the most thought-provoking and important to consider? There is no right or wrong answer to this question; use it as an opportunity to reflect on what you’ve read this week. (Whatever answer you pick will be marked correct!)